This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 51% to break even | 22%–64% | 10 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 9 of 1850%needs 51% to break even | 32%–68% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Tonight KSU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ASU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ksu 1h -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSU -6.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
| -18 |
| -20.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +30.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| KSU -5.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 41% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| KSU -4.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
| KSU -3.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| KSU -2.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| KSU -1.5 spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| KSU -0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.6Not beating its price |
| KSU to win moneylineKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | NV-127at Novig | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 56% to break even | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, KSU gamesKansas State Wildcats · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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