This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 53.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 52.9total points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 55.9total points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 52% to break even | 12%–65% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% | 54total points |
| Last season | 5 of 1338% |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 8 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 53.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 53.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY to win moneylineNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
| 20%–61% |
| 14 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% |
| 56.5total points |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 52% to break even | 21%–56% | 16 points shortwon 37%, needs 52% | 55.7total points |
| 72 |
| -18.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 60 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | AFA | 23 | +30.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | 44 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 68 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 57 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 48 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 33 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 45 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 79 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 48 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 74 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 63 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 65 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 34 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 65 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 62 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost |
| -110at DraftKings |
| 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even7 of 8 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +4579at Kalshi |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 2% to break even8 of 8 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 24.9Very strong |
| NAVY +28.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even8 of 8 at home | 15.7Very strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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