This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 52% to break even | 65%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | lost by 2.6points |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 52% to break even | 79%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | won by 5.1points |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 52% to break even | 75%–98% | 41 points betterwon 93%, needs 52% | won by 0.8points |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 52% to break even | 69%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% | won by 2.3points |
| Last season |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 8 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NAVY +28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -28.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY to win moneylineNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
| 12 of 1392%needs 52% to break even |
| 72%–98% |
| 40 points betterwon 92%, needs 52% |
| won by 6.5points |
| Every game | 18 of 1995%needs 52% to break even | 80%–99% | 42 points betterwon 95%, needs 52% | won by 5.2points |
| -4 |
| +24.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 10 | 8 | +36.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | AFA | -5 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | -4 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -8 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 27 | +55.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 22 | +50.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +29.5 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 11 | +39.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +31.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -39 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +38.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 3 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 8 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 19 | +47.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +42.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 45 | +73.5 | Won |
| +3021at Kalshi |
| 11 of 13· last season85%needs 3% to break even8 of 8 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 24.0Very strong |
| Over 53.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even7 of 8 at home | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 52% to break even1 of 8 at home | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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