This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 2% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 2% to break even | 5%–56% | 18 points betterwon 20%, needs 2% | lost by 2.6points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 2% to break even | 35%–81% | 58 points betterwon 60%, needs 2% | won by 5.1points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 2% to break even | 39%–78% | 58 points betterwon 60%, needs 2% | won by 0.8points |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 2% to break even | 12%–65% | 31 points betterwon 33%, needs 2% | won by 2.3points |
| Last season |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against ND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 8 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NAVY to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY +28.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET |
| 11 of 1385%needs 2% to break even |
| 63%–95% |
| 82 points betterwon 85%, needs 2% |
| won by 6.5points |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 2% to break even | 50%–83% | 66 points betterwon 68%, needs 2% | won by 5.2points |
| -4 |
| -4 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Oct 3 | AFA | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -8 | -8 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 27 | 11 | +11 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -39 | -39 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 45 | +45 | Won |
| -110at DraftKings |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even8 of 8 at home |
| 15.7Very strong |
| Over 53.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 52% to break even7 of 8 at home | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 52% to break even1 of 8 at home | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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