This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 45% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 45% to break even | 39%–78% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 45% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 8 of 1553%needs 45% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 11 of 2152%needs 45% to break even | 35%–69% | 8 points betterwon 52%, needs 45% |
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 56.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 56.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| 69 |
| +12.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 80 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 56 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 50 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 79 | +22.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 58 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 73 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 51 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 57 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 58 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 49 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 44 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 60 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 78 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 45 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 43 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 55 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 76 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 53 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 70 | +13.5 | Won |
| 3 of 15· last season20%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.1Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 47% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 48% to break even | -26.7Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.3Not beating its price |
| Under 55.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last season47%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last season47%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.8Not beating its price |
| Under 57.5 game total, MISS gamesOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 44% to break even |
| 18.3Very strong |
| Over 24.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 54% to break even | 15.5Very strong |
| Over 30.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 34% to break even | 13.7Strong |
| Over 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 61% to break even | 13.5Strong |
| MISS -2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 13.0Strong |
| MISS to win moneylineOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV+147at Novig | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.4Strong |
| MISS -1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.2Strong |
| MISS +1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.0Strong |
| MISS -3.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | 8.6Strong |
| MISS +2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.2Strong |
| MISS -2.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 37% to break even | 7.2Good |
| MISS -0.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.3Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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