This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 36% to break even | 44%–95% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 36% to break even | 54%–93% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 36% to break even | 59%–92% | 44 points betterwon 80%, needs 36% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 36% to break even | 50%–96% | 48 points betterwon 83%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 10 of 1567%needs 36% to break even | 46%–83% | 31 points betterwon 67%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 36% to break even | 54%–84% | 36 points betterwon 71%, needs 36% |
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MISS points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MISS points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 52 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 28 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 32 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 39 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 34 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 49 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 34 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 45 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 30 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 63 | +32.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 35% to break even | -27.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 44% to break even | -35.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last season13%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -40.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last season20%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -47.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.