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NCAAFGame lineSpread
MISS +1.5 (spread)
Won13 of 15last season · 87%
Best price+126Polymarket
Price needs44.2%wins to break even
Every game18 of 21this season and last
Trend score9.3Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 44% to break even | 54%–93% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 44% to break even | 59%–92% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 44% to break even | 50%–96% | 39 points betterwon 83%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 13 of 1587%needs 44% to break even | 67%–95% | 42 points betterwon 87%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 18 of 2186%needs 44% to break even | 69%–94% | 41 points betterwon 86%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MISS +1.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against miss +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  MIZ | 28 | +29.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  VAN | 35 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  FLA | -24 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  LSU | 8 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  CLT | 32 | +33.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  LOU | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 |  MIA | -4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 |  UGA | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 |  TULN | 31 | +32.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  MSST | 19 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | FLA | 10 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  CIT | 49 | +50.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  ACU | 16 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  OU | 8 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | UGA | -8 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  WSU | 3 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | LSU | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | TULN | 35 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ARK | 6 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  UK | 7 | +8.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  GAST | 56 | +57.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Ole Miss Rebels in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.