This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 34% to break even | 44%–95% | 46 points betterwon 80%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 34% to break even | 44%–87% | 36 points betterwon 70%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 34% to break even | 46%–83% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 34% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 34% to break even | 50%–96% | 50 points betterwon 83%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 14 of 2167%needs 34% to break even | 49%–81% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 34% |
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against miss 1h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 18 | +14.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| Oct 10 | 39 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 35 | +31.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 44% to break even |
| 18.3Very strong |
| Over 24.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 54% to break even | 15.5Very strong |
| Over 30.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 34% to break even | 13.7Strong |
| Over 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 61% to break even | 13.5Strong |
| MISS -2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 13.0Strong |
| MISS to win moneylineOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV+147at Novig | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.4Strong |
| MISS -1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.2Strong |
| MISS +1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.0Strong |
| MISS +2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.2Strong |
| MISS -2.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 37% to break even | 7.2Good |
| MISS -0.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 39% to break even | 5.6Good |
| MISS +4.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.1Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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