This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 62% to break even | 0%–35% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 62% to break even | 2%–35% | 52 points shortwon 10%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 62% to break even | 2%–25% | 55 points shortwon 7%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 62% to break even | 0%–31% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 3 of 1520%needs 62% to break even | 8%–41% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 3 of 2114%needs 62% to break even | 6%–31% | 47 points shortwon 14%, needs 62% |
Tonight MISS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TEX. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MISS points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | MISS points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS -2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Oct 10 |
| 52 |
| -24.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 32 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 39 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 49 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 45 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 41 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 63 | -35.5 | Lost |
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 61% to break even |
| 13.5Strong |
| Over 24.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 54% to break even | 15.5Very strong |
| Over 27.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even | 16.7Very strong |
| Over 30.5 team totalOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 36% to break even | 12.0Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 13 of 15· last season87%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 13.9Strong |
| MISS -1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.6Strong |
| MISS to win moneylineOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+147at Novig | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 12.4Strong |
| MISS -3.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.3Strong |
| MISS -0.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.0Strong |
| MISS +0.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 11.0Strong |
| MISS +1.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.3Strong |
| MISS +2.5 spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.5Strong |
| MISS -2.5 1st quarter spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 36% to break even | 8.0Strong |
| MISS -3.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | 7.0Good |
| MISS -0.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.3Good |
| MISS -2.5 1st half spreadOle Miss Rebels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.3Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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