This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 46.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% | 52.1total points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 50.8total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 50total points |
| Last season |
Tonight NMSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU to win moneylineNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET |
| 22%–64% |
| 11 points shortwon 42%, needs 52% |
| 49.2total points |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 52% to break even | 26%–61% | 10 points shortwon 42%, needs 52% | 49.5total points |
| 54 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 7 | 25 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 | 47 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 60 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 65 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 51 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 55 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 65 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 51 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 51 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 14 | 57 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | 47 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 58 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 63 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 35 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 22 | +27.5 | Won |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home |
| -14.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +122at FanDuel |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even5 of 9 at home |
| -22.0Not beating its price |
| NMSU +2.5 spreadNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 at home | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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