This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | lost by 5.2points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | lost by 4.3points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 50% to break even | 17%–54% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% | lost by 3.2points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% | lost by 0.9points |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 50% to break even | 16%–57% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% | lost by 6points |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 50% to break even | 21%–56% | 13 points shortwon 37%, needs 50% | lost by 4.1points |
Tonight NMSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NMSU +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 6 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | -19 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 21 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -24 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 37 | +39.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -17 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | -33 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -19 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 2 | 27 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -18 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -35 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 7 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 16 | +18.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home | -14.9Not beating its price | ||
| NMSU to win moneylineNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | +122at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even5 of 9 at home | -22.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 at home | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.