This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 46.8total points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% | 52.1total points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 50.8total points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 52% to break even | 29%–81% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% | 50total points |
| Last season |
Tonight NMSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU to win moneylineNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET |
| 36%–78% |
| 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% |
| 49.2total points |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 52% to break even | 39%–74% | 6 points betterwon 58%, needs 52% | 49.5total points |
| 54 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 7 | 25 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 | 47 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 60 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 48 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 65 | +15.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 51 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 55 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 65 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 51 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 45 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 51 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 41 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | 57 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 2 | 47 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 58 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 63 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 22 | -27.5 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +122at FanDuel |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even5 of 9 at home |
| -22.0Not beating its price |
| NMSU +2.5 spreadNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 at home | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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