This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | lost by 5.2points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | lost by 4.3points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% | lost by 3.2points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 45% to break even | 19%–71% | 2 points shortwon 43%, needs 45% | lost by 0.9points |
| Last season | 4 of 1233% |
Tonight NMSU plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against JXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against NMSU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies |
| 16%–57% |
| 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| lost by 6points |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 45% to break even | 21%–56% | 8 points shortwon 37%, needs 45% | lost by 4.1points |
| 6 |
| +6 |
| Won |
| Oct 7 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Oct 1 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 37 | +37 | Won |
| Aug 29 | -17 | -17 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -33 | -33 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -19 | -19 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 2 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -35 | -35 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 16 | +16 | Won |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even3 of 9 at home |
| -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, NMSU gamesNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 at home | -25.4Not beating its price |
| NMSU +2.5 spreadNew Mexico State Aggies · Wed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 50% to break even5 of 9 at home | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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