This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 50% to break even | 22%–78% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 50% to break even | 54%–90% | 27 points betterwon 77%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 50% to break even | 50%–83% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
Tonight OU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MSST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 45.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 45.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 34 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, OU gamesOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 51 |
| -5.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 54 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 20 | +25.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 51 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 58 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 30 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 23 | +22.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 44 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 60 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 60 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 33 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 44 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 41 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 45 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 38 | +7.5 | Won |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 59% to break even |
| -27.0Not beating its price |
| Over 45 game total, OU gamesOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX-103at ProphetX | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, OU gamesOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 53% to break even | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, OU gamesOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 47% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, OU gamesOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 38% to break even | -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even |
| -12.4Not beating its price |
| OU +0.5 1st half spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| OU -0.5 1st half spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| OU -0.5 1st quarter spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price |
| OU -1.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.1Not beating its price |
| OU -7.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
| OU -3.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| OU -5.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| OU -6.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| OU -4.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| OU -2.5 1st half spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| OU -2.5 spreadOklahoma Sooners · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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