This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 55% to break even | 39%–78% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 55% to break even | 22%–78% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 55% to break even | 46%–85% | 14 points betterwon 69%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 12 of 1963%needs 55% to break even | 44%–79% | 8 points betterwon 63%, needs 55% |
Tonight OU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MSST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ou 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -28 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 27 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 23 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 25 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 21 | +20.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.