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NCAAFGame lineSpread
OU -6.5 (spread)
Won7 of 13last season · 54%
Best price+131Polymarket
Price needs43.3%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-20.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 43% to break even | 32%–74% | 11 points betterwon 54%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 43% to break even | 30%–65% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight OU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MSST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
OU -6.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ou -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UK | -8 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  TEX | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  UGA | -28 | -34.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  UNM | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  MICH | -7 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 |  UTEP | 51 | +44.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 |  ALA | -10 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  LSU | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  MIZ | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | ALA | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  TENN | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  MISS | -8 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  ACU | 19 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | TEX | -17 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  KENT | 44 | +37.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  AUB | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  TEM | 39 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | MICH | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  ILST | 32 | +25.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Oklahoma Sooners in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.