This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 60% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 60% to break even | 35%–81% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 60% to break even | 39%–78% | evenwon 60%, needs 60% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 60% to break even | 22%–78% | 10 points shortwon 50%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 60% to break even | 54%–90% | 17 points betterwon 77%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 60% to break even | 50%–83% | 8 points betterwon 68%, needs 60% |
Tonight OU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MSST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ou -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -28 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 51 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 19 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 44 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 39 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 32 | +30.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.