This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 50% to break even | 13%–56% | 20 points shortwon 30%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 50% to break even | 22%–61% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 17 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 50% to break even | 29%–71% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 50% to break even | 27%–63% | 6 points shortwon 44%, needs 50% |
Tonight NEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SJSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET |
| 43 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | AFA | 69 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 47 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 27 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 63 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 59 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 20 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 65 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 65 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 27 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 46 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 54 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 37 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 47 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 27 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 37 | +9.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 57 | -10.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 62% to break even |
| -18.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 47% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 44% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.9Slight |
| Under 25.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 12· last season33%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| NEV -13.5 spreadNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 35% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| NEV -11.5 spreadNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 39% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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