This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 51% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 51% to break even | 29%–71% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 10 of 1856%needs 51% to break even | 37%–73% | 4 points betterwon 56%, needs 51% |
Tonight NEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SJSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 40.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET |
| 43 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | AFA | 69 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 47 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 27 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 63 | +16.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 59 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 20 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 65 | +18.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 65 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 27 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 46 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 54 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 47 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 27 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 57 | +10.5 | Won |
| 5 of 12· last season42%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.4Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.1Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.4Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Under 47.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 58% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.9Slight |
| Under 25.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| NEV -13.5 spreadNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 34% to break even | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 4 of 12· last season33%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 7 of 12· last season58%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| NEV -11.5 spreadNevada Wolf Pack · Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 39% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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