This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 48% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 48% to break even | 52%–87% | 25 points betterwon 73%, needs 48% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 48% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 11 of 1292%needs 48% to break even | 70%–98% | 44 points betterwon 92%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 14 of 1878%needs 48% to break even | 59%–90% | 30 points betterwon 78%, needs 48% |
Tonight NEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SJSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NEV points in each game against under 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NEV points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 30 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | AFA | 33 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 49 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 55 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 22 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 17 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 16 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 20 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 11 | +14.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -40.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -33.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 27.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 30.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 39% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.