This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 39% to break even | 8%–41% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 39% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 39% to break even | 2%–30% | 30 points shortwon 8%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 3 of 1817%needs 39% to break even | 7%–35% | 22 points shortwon 17%, needs 39% |
Tonight NEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SJSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against nev -11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -14 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET |
| 17 |
| +5.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | AFA | -3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -7 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -13 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 35 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -25 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 45 | +33.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -37 | -48.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | -21 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -2 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -34 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -15 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -35 | -46.5 | Lost |
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.2Slight |
| Under 25.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NEV gamesNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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