This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 52% to break even | 26%–68% | 6 points shortwon 46%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 52% to break even | 30%–65% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TXST points in each game against under 37.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TXST points | Beat 37.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 66 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 29 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 63 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 26 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 7 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 41 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 49 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 31 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 41 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 39 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 20 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 37 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 41 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 30 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 35 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 15 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 43 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 52 | -14.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 35.5 team totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 37.5 team totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 41.5 team totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.