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NCAAFGame line3rd quarter spread
TXST 3Q -2.5 (3rd quarter spread)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price-121Kalshi
Price needs54.8%wins to break even
Every game8 of 19this season and last
Trend score-26.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 55% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 55% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points shortwon 50%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 55% to break even | 22%–61% | 15 points shortwon 40%, needs 55% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 55% to break even | 12%–65% | 21 points shortwon 33%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 55% to break even | 26%–68% | 9 points shortwon 46%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 55% to break even | 26%–61% | 13 points shortwon 42%, needs 55% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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TXST 3Q -2.5 (3rd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q margin in each game against txst 3q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  CSU | 15 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  SDSU | -21 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  UIW | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  UNT | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  UTSA | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TEX | -21 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  RICE | 17 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  USA | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ULM | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  USM | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  UL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 |  JMU | -21 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  MRSH | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TROY | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  ARST | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NICH | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ASU | -8 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | UTSA | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  EMU | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Texas State Bobcats in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.