This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 48% to break even | 13%–56% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 48% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 48% to break even | 12%–65% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 48% to break even | 15%–54% | 17 points shortwon 31%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 48% to break even | 17%–50% | 16 points shortwon 32%, needs 48% |
Tonight NAVY plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against UNT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 64.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 64.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 72 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY +5.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 60 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | AFA | 23 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 44 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 68 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 57 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 48 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 33 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 45 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 79 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 48 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 74 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 63 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | AFA | 65 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 34 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 65 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 62 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 59 | -5.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 37% to break even |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 48% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 52% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 game total, NAVY gamesNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 63% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| NAVY +6.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 65% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| NAVY to win moneylineNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | PX+123at ProphetX | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| NAVY +4.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY -0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY +0.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| NAVY -4.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| NAVY +1.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| NAVY +2.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| NAVY -2.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| NAVY -3.5 spreadNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 1st quarter totalNavy Midshipmen · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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