This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 62% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 62% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 62% to break even | 35%–88% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 62% to break even | 29%–71% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 10 of 1856%needs 62% to break even | 37%–73% | 6 points shortwon 56%, needs 62% |
Tonight BAY plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against KU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against bay 1h +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 game total, BAY gamesBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 31 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -8 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -18 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -11 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 8 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 28 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.7Not beating its price |
| BAY -2.5 spreadBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price |
| BAY to win moneylineBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | PX-127at ProphetX | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, BAY gamesBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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