This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 56% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 56% to break even | 28%–67% | 9 points shortwon 47%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 56% to break even | 22%–64% | 14 points shortwon 42%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 9 of 1850%needs 56% to break even | 32%–68% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
Tonight BAY plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against KU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against bay to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 36 | +36 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 41 | +41 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -24 | -24 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -27 | -27 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 27 | +27 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 game total, BAY gamesBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price | |
| BAY -0.5 1st half spreadBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price | ||
| BAY -2.5 spreadBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | NV-108at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price | ||
| BAY +0.5 1st half spreadBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 52.5 game total, BAY gamesBaylor Bears · Sat, Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.