This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 43% to break even | 0%–35% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 43% to break even | 2%–35% | 33 points shortwon 10%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 43% to break even | 2%–25% | 36 points shortwon 7%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 43% to break even | 3%–45% | 28 points shortwon 14%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 0 of 120%needs 43% to break even | 0%–18% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 1 of 195%needs 43% to break even | 1%–20% | 37 points shortwon 5%, needs 43% |
Tonight BALL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ball 1h -10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| -17 |
| -27.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -5 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -17 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -16 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 18 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -25 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -14 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -1 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -14 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -3 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -21 | -31.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 14.1Strong |
| Under 30.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.9Good |
| Under 34.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.6Good |
| Under 31.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| Under 37.5 team totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.6Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | LVG-108at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, BALL gamesBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 1st half totalBall State Cardinals · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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