This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 63% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points betterwon 70%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1471%needs 63% to break even | 49%–86% | 8 points betterwon 71%, needs 63% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 63% to break even | 29%–81% | 6 points shortwon 57%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 63% to break even | 26%–68% | 17 points shortwon 46%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 63% to break even | 33%–67% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 51, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 36 | +15 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA -3.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| 53 |
| -2 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 45 | +6 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 45 | +6 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 65 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | 62 | -11 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 42 | +9 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 20 | +31 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 47 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 34 | +17 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 51 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 8 | 25 | +26 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 52 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 33 | +18 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 42 | +9 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 57 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 84 | -33 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 68 | -17 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 71 | -20 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 66 | -15 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 55 | -4 | Lost |
| 6 of 7· this season86%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -14.8Not beating its price |
| Over 42 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 64% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 43 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -180at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 64% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -170at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 63% to break even | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 44 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -160at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 45 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -140at Fanatics | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -130at BetMGM | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 46 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -125at Fanatics | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Over 47 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -115at Fanatics | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Over 48 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 49 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +110at Fanatics | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +116at FanDuel | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +126at FanDuel | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +135at Fanatics | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +145at Fanatics | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 52 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 6 of 13· last season46%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +162at FanDuel | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 53 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +165at Fanatics | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +172at FanDuel | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 54 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +190at FanDuel | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Over 55 game total, UVA gamesVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +200at Fanatics | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 1.1Slight |
| UVA -2.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price |
| UVA -0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
| UVA -7.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +245at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price |
| UVA +0.5 3rd quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| UVA -7 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +230at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| UVA -5.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UVA -6 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +188at BetRivers | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| UVA +0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -208at Kalshi | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| UVA -6.5 1st half spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| UVA -5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +165at BetRivers | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| UVA -6.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +195at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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