This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 36% to break even | 0%–35% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 36% to break even | 13%–56% | 6 points shortwon 30%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 36% to break even | 13%–48% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 36% to break even | 3%–45% | 21 points shortwon 14%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 3 of 1421%needs 36% to break even | 9%–43% | 14 points shortwon 21%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 4 of 2119%needs 36% to break even | 9%–36% | 17 points shortwon 19%, needs 36% |
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 23 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 1st half totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA -3.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET |
| Oct 10 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 35 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 17 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 16 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 42 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 42 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 49 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 38 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 28 | -8.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even |
| -12.6Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 1.1Slight |
| UVA -2.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.7Not beating its price |
| UVA -0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
| UVA -7.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +245at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price |
| UVA +0.5 3rd quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| UVA -7 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +230at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 30% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| UVA -5.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UVA -6 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +188at BetRivers | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| UVA +0.5 1st quarter spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | -208at Kalshi | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| UVA -6.5 1st half spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| UVA -5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +165at BetRivers | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| UVA -6.5 spreadVirginia Cavaliers · Tomorrow 7:00 PM ET | +195at BetRivers | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.