This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 46% to break even | 44%–87% | 24 points betterwon 70%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 46% to break even | 39%–78% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 46% to break even | 35%–88% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 46% to break even | 36%–78% | 12 points betterwon 58%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 11 of 1861%needs 46% to break even | 42%–77% | 15 points betterwon 61%, needs 46% |
Tonight ISU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU +14.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| -37.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 62 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 29 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 33 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 52 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 37 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 43 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 68 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 41 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 68 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 53 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 40 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 29 | +20.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 62 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 45 | +4.5 | Won |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even |
| -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 45% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 57.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 64% to break even |
| 9.7Strong |
| ISU +0.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.6Good |
| ISU to win moneylineIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | PX+290at ProphetX | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 26% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.2Good |
| ISU +5.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 40% to break even | 2.8Slight |
| ISU +3.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even | 1.9Slight |
| ISU +8.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.5Slight |
| ISU +4.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.5Slight |
| ISU +6.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even | 1.2Slight |
| ISU +4.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| ISU +10.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | PX-108at ProphetX | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| ISU +5.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| ISU +7.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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