This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 52% to break even | 54%–93% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 52% to break even | 59%–92% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 11 of 1292%needs 52% to break even | 70%–98% | 40 points betterwon 92%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 15 of 1883%needs 52% to break even | 65%–93% | 31 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
Tonight ISU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against isu +10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 | -14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 3 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 48 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 28 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 7 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 25 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 8 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 48 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU +0.5 1st half spreadIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.0Good | |
| ISU to win moneylineIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PX+290at ProphetX | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 26% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.2Good | |
| Under 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.