This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 38% to break even | 44%–87% | 32 points betterwon 70%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 38% to break even | 52%–87% | 36 points betterwon 73%, needs 38% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 38% to break even | 35%–88% | 29 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 38% to break even | 60%–94% | 46 points betterwon 83%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 14 of 1878%needs 38% to break even | 59%–90% | 40 points betterwon 78%, needs 38% |
Tonight ISU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against isu 1h +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISU to win moneylineIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Sep 26 |
| -21 |
| -20.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 19 | 28 | +28.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 21 | +21.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -16 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 15 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 20 | +20.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| 8 of 12· last season67%needs 26% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 4.2Good |
| ISU +10.5 spreadIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PX-108at ProphetX | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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