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NCAAFGame lineTotal
Iowa State Cyclones @ Arizona Wildcats: under 45.5
Won7 of 12last season · 58%
Best price+162Polymarket
Price needs38.2%wins to break even
Every game9 of 18this season and last
Trend score-10.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 38% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points betterwon 50%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 38% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 38% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 38% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 38% to break even | 36%–78% | 20 points betterwon 58%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 9 of 1850%needs 38% to break even | 32%–68% | 12 points betterwon 50%, needs 38% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ISU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ARIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Iowa State Cyclones @ Arizona Wildcats: under 45.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 45.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 45.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 |  BYU | 34 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  WVU | 87 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  UTAH | 48 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  BGSU | 62 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  IOWA | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  SEMO | 48 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 |  OKST | 33 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  KU | 52 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  TCU | 37 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  ASU | 43 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | BYU | 68 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  COLO | 41 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  CIN | 68 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  ARIZ | 53 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  ARST | 40 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | IOWA | 29 | +16.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  SDAK | 62 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  KSU | 45 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |  -134at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even | -31.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 50.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |  -104at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 51.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 51% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 53.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 45% to break even | -26.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 57.5 game total, ISU gamesIowa State Cyclones · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 37% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Iowa State Cyclones in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.