This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 64% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 64% to break even | 29%–81% | 6 points shortwon 57%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 9 of 1275%needs 64% to break even | 51%–90% | 11 points betterwon 75%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 64% to break even | 50%–83% | 5 points betterwon 68%, needs 64% |
Tonight TLSA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TLSA points in each game against under 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TLSA points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 38 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | 44 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 42 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 31 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 21 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 37 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 27 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 7 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 19 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 23 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 35 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 26.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 59% to break even | -30.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 27.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 46% to break even | -22.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.