This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 43% to break even | 19%–71% | evenwon 43%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 43% to break even | 10%–49% | 18 points shortwon 25%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 43% to break even | 17%–50% | 11 points shortwon 32%, needs 43% |
Tonight TLSA plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ARMY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TLSA points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TLSA points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | 44 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 6 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 23 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 37 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 16 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 7 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 19 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 23 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 35 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 26.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 29.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 team totalTulsa Golden Hurricane · Today 8:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.