This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 39% to break even | 13%–56% | 9 points shortwon 30%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 39% to break even | 13%–48% | 12 points shortwon 27%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 39% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 39% to break even | 10%–46% | 16 points shortwon 23%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 39% to break even | 13%–45% | 12 points shortwon 26%, needs 39% |
Tonight ARMY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TLSA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ARMY points in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ARMY points | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 56 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 20 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 29 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 21 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 59 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 41 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 25 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | AFA | 20 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 17 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 31 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 6 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 38 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalArmy Black Knights · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 41% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 26.5 team totalArmy Black Knights · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalArmy Black Knights · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 team totalArmy Black Knights · Tomorrow 8:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.