This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 67% to break even | 65%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 67% to break even | 79%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 67% to break even | 75%–98% | 27 points betterwon 93%, needs 67% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 67% to break even | 69%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 67% to break even | 54%–90% | 10 points betterwon 77%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 16 of 1984%needs 67% to break even | 66%–94% | 18 points betterwon 84%, needs 67% |
Tonight ARMY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TLSA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against army +5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 32 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 4 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 56 | +61.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 25 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | AFA | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 18 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | -22 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.