This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 47% to break even | 35%–81% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 47% to break even | 46%–83% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 47% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 47% to break even | 35%–88% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 47% to break even | 32%–74% | 7 points betterwon 54%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 47% to break even | 39%–74% | 11 points betterwon 58%, needs 47% |
Tonight ARMY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TLSA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against army to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 56 | +56 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | AFA | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 18 | +18 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | -22 | -22 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.