This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 57% to break even | 65%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 57% to break even | 59%–92% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 57% to break even | 69%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 57% to break even | 46%–85% | 13 points betterwon 69%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 15 of 1979%needs 57% to break even | 60%–90% | 22 points betterwon 79%, needs 57% |
Tonight MICH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against IU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mich +9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH +3.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| -6 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | -1 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 35 | +44.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 25 | +34.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 2 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 5 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 11 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 17 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 60 | +69.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +26.5 | Won |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 10.1Strong |
| MICH +0.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 40% to break even | 9.9Strong |
| MICH to win moneylineMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +250at Hard Rock | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.1Strong |
| MICH +2.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 43% to break even | 7.4Good |
| MICH +4.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | 5.6Good |
| MICH +5.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.2Good |
| MICH +6.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | 2.2Slight |
| MICH +2.5 2nd quarter spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 game total, MICH gamesMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, MICH gamesMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| MICH -0.5 2nd half spreadMichigan Wolverines · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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