This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 58% to break even | 65%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 58% to break even | 65%–98% | 32 points betterwon 90%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 58% to break even | 67%–95% | 29 points betterwon 87%, needs 58% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 58% to break even | 69%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 58% to break even | 54%–90% | 19 points betterwon 77%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 16 of 1984%needs 58% to break even | 66%–94% | 26 points betterwon 84%, needs 58% |
Tonight MICH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against IU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against mich 1h +5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH +6.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +12.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 0 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 7 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 32 | +37.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -14 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 14 | +19.5 | Won |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 9.1Strong |
| MICH to win moneylineMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +250at Hard Rock | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 29% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.1Strong |
| MICH +7 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | PX+103at ProphetX | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | 6.7Good |
| MICH +3.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 40% to break even | 6.1Good |
| MICH +4.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 41% to break even | 4.9Good |
| MICH +7.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.2Good |
| MICH +5.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | 3.2Good |
| MICH +8.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.1Slight |
| MICH +9.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.8Slight |
| MICH +10.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 61% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.3Not beating its price |
| MICH +11.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 game total, MICH gamesMichigan Wolverines · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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