This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 42% to break even | 0%–35% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 42% to break even | 2%–35% | 32 points shortwon 10%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 42% to break even | 5%–33% | 28 points shortwon 13%, needs 42% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 42% to break even | 0%–31% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 42% to break even | 10%–49% | 17 points shortwon 25%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 3 of 1817%needs 42% to break even | 7%–35% | 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% |
Tonight NIU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against HAW. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against niu +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -18 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | AFA | -21 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -21 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -25 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -40 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -16 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 42 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | -39 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -27 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -28 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | -11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.