This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 60% to break even | 44%–95% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 60% to break even | 44%–87% | 10 points betterwon 70%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 60% to break even | 59%–92% | 20 points betterwon 80%, needs 60% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 60% to break even | 50%–96% | 24 points betterwon 83%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 60% to break even | 60%–94% | 24 points betterwon 83%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 15 of 1883%needs 60% to break even | 65%–93% | 24 points betterwon 83%, needs 60% |
Tonight NIU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against HAW. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NIU points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NIU points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 23 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | AFA | 7 | +16.5 | Won |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +23.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 31 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 19 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | 45 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | 3 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 21 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 9 | +14.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 19 | +4.5 | Won |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 62% to break even |
| -35.1Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 56% to break even | -30.5Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 46% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even |
| -3.7Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 55% to break even | -4.6Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | LVG-103at LowVig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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