This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 55% to break even | 44%–95% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 55% to break even | 65%–98% | 35 points betterwon 90%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 55% to break even | 52%–87% | 19 points betterwon 73%, needs 55% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 55% to break even | 50%–96% | 29 points betterwon 83%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 7 of 1258%needs 55% to break even | 36%–78% | 4 points betterwon 58%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 12 of 1867%needs 55% to break even | 47%–82% | 12 points betterwon 67%, needs 55% |
Tonight NIU plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against HAW. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 26 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | AFA | 21 | -2.5 | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 35 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 28 | 38 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 27 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | 31 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 14 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 29 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 6 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 24 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 12· last season42%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 12· last season67%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 12· last season67%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 47.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | LVG-103at LowVig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -12.7Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 12· last season50%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, NIU gamesNorthern Illinois Huskies · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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