This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 49% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 49% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 49% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 49% to break even | 35%–88% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 49% to break even | 29%–71% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 10 of 1856%needs 49% to break even | 37%–73% | 7 points betterwon 56%, needs 49% |
Tonight UCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BYU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ucf +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF to win moneylineUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| -10 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 | 67 | +73.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -20 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -39 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | -3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -27 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 32 | +38.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -9 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +31.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 61 | +67.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | JVST | 7 | +13.5 | Won |
| 3 of 6· this season50%needs 30% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UCF -0.5 1st half spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UCF +0.5 1st half spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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