This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 43% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 43% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 6 of 1250%needs 43% to break even | 29%–71% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 10 of 1856%needs 43% to break even | 37%–73% | 13 points betterwon 56%, needs 43% |
Tonight UCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BYU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against ucf 1h +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF to win moneylineUCF Knights · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -12 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 38 | +38.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -36 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -17 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -14 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | -10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 40 | +40.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | JVST | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| 3 of 6· this season50%needs 30% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UCF +6.5 spreadUCF Knights · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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