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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
UCF 1H -0.5 (1st half spread)
Won6 of 15last 15 games · 40%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game8 of 18this season and last
Trend score-10.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 34% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 34% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 34% to break even | 22%–78% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 34% to break even | 22%–64% | 8 points betterwon 42%, needs 34% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 34% to break even | 27%–63% | 11 points betterwon 44%, needs 34% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BYU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UCF 1H -0.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against ucf 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  OKST | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  HOU | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  TCU | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  GAST | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  PITT | -12 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 |  BCU | 38 | +37.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 |  BYU | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | OKST | -14 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  TTU | -36 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | HOU | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  BAY | -17 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  WVU | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  CIN | -14 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  KU | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  KSU | -10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  UNC | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  NCAT | 40 | +39.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | JVST | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on UCF Knights in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF to win moneylineUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+228at Novig | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 30% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price | ||
| UCF +6.5 spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.