This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 30% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 30% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points betterwon 40%, needs 30% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 30% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points betterwon 40%, needs 30% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 30% to break even | 17%–54% | 3 points betterwon 33%, needs 30% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 30% to break even | 22%–78% | 20 points betterwon 50%, needs 30% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 30% to break even | 22%–64% | 11 points betterwon 42%, needs 30% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 30% to break even | 27%–63% | 14 points betterwon 44%, needs 30% |
Tonight UCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against BYU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ucf to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| -10 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 12 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 67 | +67 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -20 | -20 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -39 | -39 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Oct 11 | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +25 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 61 | +61 | Won |
| Aug 28 | JVST | 7 | +7 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| UCF -0.5 1st half spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| UCF +0.5 1st half spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| UCF +6.5 spreadUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+106at Novig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, UCF gamesUCF Knights · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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