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NCAAFGame line1st quarter total
Under 10.5 (1st quarter total)
Won11 of 15last season · 73%
Best price-139Polymarket
Price needs58.2%wins to break even
Every game14 of 22this season and last
Trend score-18.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 58% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 58% to break even | 46%–83% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 58% to break even | 19%–71% | 15 points shortwon 43%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 11 of 1573%needs 58% to break even | 52%–87% | 15 points betterwon 73%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 58% to break even | 46%–78% | 5 points betterwon 64%, needs 58% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ALA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TA&M. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 10.5 (1st quarter total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  TENN | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  UGA | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  MSST | 21 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  ACU | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  FSU | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UK | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  ECU | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 |  IU | 0 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  OU | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | UGA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  AUB | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  EIU | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | OU | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  LSU | 3 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | ACU | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | TENN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MIZ | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  VAN | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | UGA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  WIS | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ULM | 21 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | FSU | 14 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |  -161at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 1st quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |  +116at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 1st quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 1st quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Alabama Crimson Tide in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.