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NCAAFGame lineSpread
ALA -20.5 (spread)
Won4 of 7this season · 57%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game7 of 22this season and last
Trend score-14.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 35% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 35% to break even | 17%–54% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 35% to break even | 29%–81% | 23 points betterwon 57%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 3 of 1520%needs 35% to break even | 8%–41% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 7 of 2232%needs 35% to break even | 18%–49% | 3 points shortwon 32%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ALA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TA&M. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
ALA -20.5 (spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against ala -20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  TENN | -16 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  UGA | -3 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  MSST | 33 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  ACU | 31 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  FSU | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UK | 28 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  ECU | 38 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 |  IU | -35 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 |  OU | 10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | UGA | -21 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  AUB | 7 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  EIU | 56 | +35.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | OU | -2 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  LSU | 11 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | ACU | 7 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | TENN | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  MIZ | 3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  VAN | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | UGA | 3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  WIS | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  ULM | 73 | +52.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | FSU | -14 | -34.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Alabama Crimson Tide in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.