This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 38% to break even | 27%–86% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 38% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 38% to break even | 28%–67% | 9 points betterwon 47%, needs 38% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 38% to break even | 41%–90% | 34 points betterwon 71%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 38% to break even | 26%–58% | 3 points betterwon 41%, needs 38% |
Tonight ALA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against TA&M. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 55.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 55.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 36 | -19.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -3.5 2nd quarter spreadAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 37 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 79 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 67 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 86 | +30.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 62 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 58 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 1 | 41 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 58 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 35 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | 47 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 56 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 44 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 29 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 51 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 57 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 51 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 44 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 45 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 52 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 73 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 48 | -7.5 | Lost |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 36% to break even |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 50 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | LVG-103at LowVig | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, ALA gamesAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| -4.4Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| ALA -4.5 2nd quarter spreadAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 1st half totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 3rd quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 1st quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 62% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| ALA -20.5 spreadAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 1st half totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 4th quarter totalAlabama Crimson Tide · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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